Research

Performance Report: Consumer Unsecured and Subprime Auto, June 2025

28 July 2025
Fig 10.1- Auto- Total 30 60+ Impairment Rates 2025-07-24

Quick Insights

Unsecured Personal Loan Borrowers Prove Resilient Again

  • 30+ impairments declined 17 bps, outperforming seasonality for the second consecutive month

  • Cure rates set a new record, while Made Payment rates hovered near peak levels

  • 2024 vintages now exceed pre-COVID performance when evaluated by original balance

Subprime Auto Enters Uncharted Territory

  • 30+ impairments surged 170 bps MoM, the largest single-month June spike ever

  • Cure rates hit a record low, while Made Payment rates suggest partial payment behavior

  • Loss severities climbed again, now 900+ bps above 2019 despite elevated vehicle values

Student Loans Struggle to Normalize Post-Forbearance

  • 37% of balances in repayment are now 30+ days delinquent, triple pre-COVID levels and the highest on record

  • Delinquencies are concentrated in 90+ day buckets, highlighting a lack of resolution tools or discharge mechanisms

  • IDR usage is shifting structurally—loan count under IDR is rising, but balance share is falling, suggesting high-balance borrowers are refinancing out and leaving behind lower-value debt

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