Non-mortgage credit has remained flat since 2022 after adjusting for inflation and household formation. This plateau, driven by student loan and credit card balance trends, suggests that borrowers are focusing on managing existing debt over taking on new obligations.
30+ Impairments declined 17 bps MoM, 1.5x better than seasonal trends.
Charge-offs dropped to their lowest point in 3 years, finally falling below pre-COVID levels
2024 vintages are now outperforming 2023 on impairment, ROI, and modification outcomes
But watch loan age 3–6 months: impairments rose for the 9th time in 10 months
30+ Impairments rose 120 bps MoM, reversing March’s improvement
Charge-offs failed to decline for the first time in at least 7 years
High LTV and lower-income borrowers are driving the underperformance